Global Advanced Research Journal of Management and Business Studies (ISSN: 2315-5086) April 2015 Vol. 4(4), pp 151-167.
Copyright © 2015 Global Advanced Research Journals
Original Research Articles
Multi criteria and Forecasting Tools in a Case Study under the Participatory Planning Guidelines
Renaud Barbosa da Silva1, Maria Aparecida Cavalcanti Netto2, Juan Wanderley3
1Fundação Getúlio Vargas, Praia de Botafogo, 190, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
2Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro, COPPE, Ilha do Fundão, Tecnologia, Bl. C, s. 203, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
3Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro, COPPE, Ilha do Fundão, Tecnologia, Bl. s. 203, Rio de Janeiro, Brazilrenaud@fgv.br, email@example.com, firstname.lastname@example.org
Accepted 12 April 2015
This article presents the conclusions from applying a procedure based on multi-criteria and qualitative forecasting methods to hierarchising transport infrastructure investment options with real data; it focusses on the key steps. The procedure can be generalised to urban and regional planning and so on. One important aspect is that it requires multi-segment participation on the basis of participatory planning guidelines, which gives the stakeholders involved greater confidence in the results and in the likelihood they will actually be implemented. The article discusses salient aspects of related theory. A pilot case study was conducted in Brazil as a preliminary to a broader study (later conducted) to validate the procedure and prepare the way for generalisation to other decision-making situations. It was observed that options that obey eco-sustainability and social criteria were preferred, about 24% of the results favouring investments in railways, whether for cargo or passenger transport.
Keywords: Transportation infrastructure planning, Multi criteria methods, TOPSIS, AHP, DELPHI.
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